Forbes and Moody’s Economy.com projects Austin's economy will grow by 32%
In the late 80’s and early 90’s in Austin, job growth stopped, real estate values dropped and people left town. Probably because of the severity of that recession, Austin has faired much better this time. Home prices did not increase more than could be supported by median family incomes. Thanks to Texas’s home equity laws, consumers could not borrow against their home appreciation nearly as easily as homeowners in other states – which helped keep home prices stable and consumer debt manageable. If you don’t have a bubble then you don’t have a bust. While most other major real estate markets have seen home prices drop by as much as 50% and experienced high unemployment, Austin’s median home price has been stable or seen only a small drop. Job losses have been slight.
Now, Forbes and Moody’s Economy.com projects Austin's economy will grow by 32% over the five year period from 2007 to 2012. Not only is Austin’s economy growing, but it's growth rate is nearly 50% higher than #2 ranked Fort Myers, Florida. Equally important to Austin’s economic growth is Austin's population growth which is expected to grow by an amazing 15%.
“To compile our list, we looked at all of the country's 363 metropolitan areas, defined by the U.S. Census Bureau as a geographic region with a "core urban area" of at least 50,000 people. Because many small metro areas are high growth--and because we wanted to show growth in large cities as well--we split the group into two classes: the largest 100 metro areas (with at least 528,000 people) and everyone else. We use projections run for us by Moody's Economy.com to show growth in GMP between 2007-2012.
Of course, if one looks at economic growth in the country's largest 100 metros, the usual suspects jump to the top of the list. With an estimated 32% GMP growth from 2007-2012, Austin, Texas, is the winner for big metros. Atlanta, Seattle, Orlando, Houston and San Jose, Calif., also appear high on the list. What do they all have in common? They're tech hubs with proximity to universities and a healthy increase in population. Austin's population, for example, is expected to increase by nearly 15% by 2012, according to Moody's Economy.com forecasts.”
Full Article: http://www.forbes.com/2008/01/30/economy-cities-alabama-biz-cx_bw_0130econcities.html
For more info contact Craig Ellmaker at craig@austin-cashflow.com